Downtown’s Fantasy Basketball Dynasty Rankings 2016 2.0

With the fun of the draft, Summer League, free agency and the Rio Olympics behind us, you’d be forgiven for thinking there’s no need to think about fantasy basketball for a while, right? Wrong.

Training camps open this month, people!

There’s no time to get complacent for those who play in a dynasty or keeper league format. No, now is the time to start planning in earnest.

You’ve probably had your rookie draft already, or maybe you’re about to, but either way you need to get a handle on the value of your guys. A lot has changed since my last rankings in May, so ask yourself the following questions.

Is my team balance right? What can I expect out of my returning players? Should I work through some trade possibilities? And if I can’t keep everyone, then who should I throw back into the free agent pool? Finally, what kind of impact can I expect from those rookies I just drafted?

I can’t answer all of those questions for you, but I sure can help.

Of course, every dynasty/keeper league has a different format or rules around how many players you keep. Some keep everyone year on year, only allowing space for incoming rookies, while others keep as few as three players each season.

Whatever your format, this updated list should help you decide how to manage your roster heading into next season.

A few housekeeping rules before the rankings:

1) Value is based on standard nine-category formats (pts, rebs, asts, 3ptm, stls, blks, FG%, FT%, TOs).

2) Age matters. In a keeper format, would you rather three or four more years of LeBron James or 10 more years of Kawhi Leonard? Youth wins out nearly every time.

3) Once again, position scarcity was barely a factor. You’re keeping Myles Turner over Brook Lopez in nearly every format even if there are eight power forwards ranked higher.

And finally, a caveat.

4) These rankings are current as of September 8, 2016. With training camp and preseason games to come, plus a few free agents still out there, these may need a slight tweak before the season starts, but as always, I’ve tried to address any uncertainty in my comments.

A couple of comments from my last ranks:

I listened to your feedback on guys like Karl-Anthony Towns and Giannis Antetokounmpo. I also didn’t always agree, with guys like Steven Adams (you know who you are). Adams is a polarising fantasy player, especially in a dynasty format, for the following reasons:

–         He’s never ranked inside the top 150 on averages

–         His playoff per-36 numbers are barely up from his regular season per-36 numbers, so some of that can be explained by shorter playoff rotations, meaning more minutes

–         His fantasy value is really limited to strong field goal percentage and rebounding. He’s not an elite shot-blocker and has a limited offensive game

–         However, with Serge Ibaka gone, many expect him to make the leap this year based on his play in the postseason

I personally take a more conservative view. I’m wary of judging folks by postseason play alone (cough cough… Jerome James… cough cough… Bismack Biyombo), so I’m reserving my judgment until we have a larger sample size. That’s not to say Adams won’t keep improving, but his fantasy impact is being overstated for mine.

Without further ado, here are my updated 2016 dynasty rankings.

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Just missed:

Joel Embiid, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Carter-Williams, Pau Gasol, Dirk Nowitzki, Marcin Gortat, Dario Saric, Jeremy Lin, Steven Adams, Josh Richardson, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Enes Kanter, Justise Winslow, Kent Bazemore, Thon Maker

 

Follow me on Twitter @tomhersz

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Author of the article

When you’re introduced to the NBA as a 6 year old in 1984, staying up late to watch Bird, Magic and Dr. J, it’s pretty hard not to fall in love with the game. I became consumed with the Association, and as my own game was developing, I tried to emulate as much as I could at an early age and learn how to play “the right way”. I have memories as a teenager of being glued to Saturday Basketball on TV and spending every spare cent I had on basketball cards and replica jerseys and so began my obsession with NBA knowledge and stats. I played my first season of Fantasy Hoops in 2002, as my serious playing days were slowing down. I now play in 5 or 6 leagues every year. To say I’m obsessed with Fantasy Hoops would be an understatement. To say I love nothing more than sharing my opinion on a player’s value would be entirely accurate, and I guess, the reason why I’m here. Follow me on twitter: @tomhersz @downtownball

One Response

  1. Majestic Mapp. at |

    Andrew Wiggins at #17? By 9-cat averages, he ranked 115 last year, 130 the year before. He’s only above-average in points, below average in everything else. Weak rebounder for his size, no STL/BLK, and terrible threes for a wing. He’s like a poor man’s DeMar DeRozan. By per-36 production, he ranked 236 last year; he’s only managed to crack fantasy mediocrity by dint of his huge minutes.

    Even in a keeper setting, hardly seems like a Top 50 player at all to me, let alone one you’d take over the almighty (and delicious!) Zinger, a 7’3 guy with elite BLK numbers and three-point range.

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